@alon_mizrahi

Trump has brought up Begram airfield in Afghanistan out of the blue, and I was intrigued as to why.

Afghanistan? Now? What could be the meaning of this?

After considering some recent developments, I think I may have the answer.

You see, Begram is right to the north of Kabul, and some 200 kilometers west of the Pakistani border.

When did we last hear of Pakistan? That’s it. Last week, when it signed a military defense treaty with Saudi Arabia, which included, leaks told us, all military capabilities, including nuclear.

My thought was: after the Israeli attack on Qatar, the Saudis wanted insurance that if Israel went all out and used atomic weapons in the Middle East, Pakistan could make sure Israel doesn’t survive this using its own arsenal. This may help to cool Tel Aviv’s head.

So what do the Americans do right away? They look for potential ways to intercept Pakistani missiles flying west. Hence, the floating of the Begram airfield idea, which is situated perfectly for this purpose (Trump did try a laughable feint when he said Begram was ‘an hour away from where China produced atomic missiles’ ).

And if the US is looking to intercept potential nuclear Pakistani missiles on their way to Israel, which could only come in retaliation for an Israeli nuclear attack, then we are looking at an extremely, extremely crazy combination of US and Israeli leadership. Even crazier than we think.

I find it extremely doubtful that the Americans will gain access to Begram. But everything points to something very very big brewing in the Middle East. A spark seems to be all that’s needed, and Israel may provide it in a couple of days, when the world celebrates a wave of Palestine recognitions that shreds to pieces Israel’s long-term strategic ambitions.

I have a feeling we are going to be firmly glued to our screens in the coming weeks (and not a word about Lebanon). A map showing Afghanistan and parts of Pakistan. Visible cities include Kabul, Islamabad, Peshawar, and Jalalabad. The map highlights Bagram Airfield north of Kabul and the Pakistani border approximately 200 kilometers east. Green and brown terrain indicates mountainous and flat regions. Google Maps watermark is present.

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5:09 PM · Sep 20, 2025

Source: https://x.com/alon_mizrahi/status/1969554475468931485